Research Overview
Latinos are expected to be the nation's largest minority group in the 2020 election, with a record 32 million projected eligible voters. They will account for 13.3% of all eligible voters in the U.S. Nationally, 34% of Latino registered voters identify with or lean toward the Republican Party. In contrast, 62% identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party.
Two-in-three Hispanic eligible voters live in five states - California, Texas, Florida, New York, and Arizona. Among states with the largest Hispanic populations, at least half of Hispanics are eligible to vote in Florida (56%), California (51%), and Texas (50%). In 26 congressional districts, Hispanics represent at least half of all eligible voters.
Research Findings
• Top states by number of Latino eligible voters
California: 7.9 million
Texas: 5.6 million
Florida: 3.1 million
New York: 2.0 million
Arizona: 1.2 million
• Top states by percentage of Latino eligible voters
New Mexico: 43%
California: 30%
Texas: 30%
Arizona: 24%
Florida: 20%
• Top congressional districts by number of Hispanic eligible voters
Texas 20th Congressional District: 359,000
Texas 16th Congressional District: 355,000
Texas 34th Congressional District: 337,000
Texas 23rd Congressional District: 323,000
Florida 26th Congressional District: 321,000
• Top states by congressional districts where Hispanics represent at least half of all eligible voters
California: 11 districts
Texas: 8 districts
Florida: 3 districts - 25th, 26th, and 27th districts
Arizona: 2 districts - 3rd and 7th districts
New York: 1 district - 15th district
Illinois: 1 district - 4th district
Source: www.pewresearch.org
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